May 14 2008
What Constitutes a “Big” Voting Victory?
OK so Hillary Clinton won the West Virginia primary, but really, was it as big a win as her campaign staff had anticipated? West Virginia has 28 delegates to share about proportionately according to the amount of votes each of the candidates received. When dust settles, this means that Hillary Clinton will only receive 15 of the 28. Doing the math, that means that it’s just over half, and Obama has not lost by as many votes as the Clinton media machine had implied he would.
Having watched the run-up to this primary I anticipated, based on the news reports, that Obama would walk away with less than 10 votes. I thought that the anticipated “big” victory in what was thought to be Hillary’s dream demographic would have her with at least 75% of the delegates, not somewhere around 54%. 54% is little more than half – and yes, that’s a win, but it’s not a landslide victory in any demographic let alone one that is supposedly biased in your favor.
I fear that this election may spell disaster for the Democrats long-term because despite many of those who were thought to vote for Clinton switching to Obama, Hillary did win the primary and so will obviously continue on the campaign trail. Whilst she must certainly be reveling in the win, the Democratic Party must be shifting uneasily in their seats as loss would have put her one step closer to stepping down and allowing Obama a free run to the Party leadership and time to concentrate on taking the Democrats into the White House.
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